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Oct 4, 2012
10/12
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obama had been ahead by four or five. in the polls. you could see a shift where we have a closer election. i would be a tiny bit surprised if romney pulled ahead based on this debate alone. but between that and something else -- we have jobs figures coming out on friday morning and two more debates and things that could develop. it put -- and put romney on a path where he has a comeback where is the opposite happen that he lost badly, then you might really eat at a october surprise for him to come back. >> there seems to be is some debate that this was the as debate america actually wanted. some people say it was too dry and some people they finally we have a serious discussion of economic policy. which one was? >> i think it was more substantive than some of the primary debates. the critique is and it's describing their plans and so forth, you can double up substance but not necessarily a substance containing an honest impression of what your card in arguments are. these are two guys who are very data-driven. i don't either of them is
obama had been ahead by four or five. in the polls. you could see a shift where we have a closer election. i would be a tiny bit surprised if romney pulled ahead based on this debate alone. but between that and something else -- we have jobs figures coming out on friday morning and two more debates and things that could develop. it put -- and put romney on a path where he has a comeback where is the opposite happen that he lost badly, then you might really eat at a october surprise for him to...
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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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that has evaporated, and that is part of the reason we are seeing president obama poll ahead. tavis: to your mind, has 13 a clear advantage to picking mr. ryan as his running mate? >> no. i do not think there would have been anyone in phnom romney was considering taking. i do not think he was serious about taking condoleezza rice. she could have changed the conversation, but the senator from ohio or paul ryan or tim pawlenty, i do not think any of them fundamentally alter the race, and i also think we have to be careful not to put too much weight on any payback in terms of deciding the overall race. i do not think sarah palin helped john mccain, but i do not think anyone he picked held that election. people are going to vote for the person who is going to be president of the united states. can the vice president held? yes, but i think we overblow it, thinking it is going to alter the broad base. -- broad base. tavis: what is your sense of whether there is an international issue that might change this race? >> i always say if something they have been in existence, and you live
that has evaporated, and that is part of the reason we are seeing president obama poll ahead. tavis: to your mind, has 13 a clear advantage to picking mr. ryan as his running mate? >> no. i do not think there would have been anyone in phnom romney was considering taking. i do not think he was serious about taking condoleezza rice. she could have changed the conversation, but the senator from ohio or paul ryan or tim pawlenty, i do not think any of them fundamentally alter the race, and i...
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Sep 7, 2012
09/12
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that means obama poll standing kerntly is not as bad as a different incumbent in a different race. >> the one thing i would say to that the romney theory, which is the challenger in -- undecide vote, 5% of undecided voters rule in politics lived wft president for 3 1/2 years clesser to 4 years. if they're not for him by now all they're looking for is an acceptable alternative. the he only slight twist is you have such interesting dynamics with the two and has people think of them which is to say governor romney holds a pretty wide lead the question of economic management and that is the primary issue in america right now, the economy people care a lot about that. >> charlie:right. >> on the other hand he holds a wide deficit, likability, shares your values, trustworthy, honest. president has a wide lead there. what exactly the intermay of those forces within a tbifn undecided voter are. what are they looking for in the debate? an acceptable alternative or two things playing in their minds? he sounds like he knows more because he avenues business guy, i don't trust him he he seems alie
that means obama poll standing kerntly is not as bad as a different incumbent in a different race. >> the one thing i would say to that the romney theory, which is the challenger in -- undecide vote, 5% of undecided voters rule in politics lived wft president for 3 1/2 years clesser to 4 years. if they're not for him by now all they're looking for is an acceptable alternative. the he only slight twist is you have such interesting dynamics with the two and has people think of them which is...
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Jul 26, 2009
07/09
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poll numbs on this issue, as we just reported. and won't it justontinue, just the way it happened to the clintons? >> unless somethingradical happens, speer pelosi said she had the votes and ixpect congress too this coming wee before we adjourn. at lea in the house. >> bonnie: in the house, right. but the senate s said tt th're not going to deawith it untilfter -- >>e accept that. the esident said look, the reason i was pushing so hard, if you don't s a deadline you don't get anything done. he accts the fact, as long as we get it done beforyhe end of e year. >> the more the arican people find outbout the details the less theylike about this. similar to whathey did wh cap in trade with stimulus with tarp, it' a catastrophe, it's a break, it s such a crisis now they're saying, wait a minute, health ce is 1/6 of our economy. wee establishing a he federal program here. at is this going to do for me as an individl? ere are thr plans in the house ihink right now. no one knows how they're going to pay for it and obama is not doneery good
poll numbs on this issue, as we just reported. and won't it justontinue, just the way it happened to the clintons? >> unless somethingradical happens, speer pelosi said she had the votes and ixpect congress too this coming wee before we adjourn. at lea in the house. >> bonnie: in the house, right. but the senate s said tt th're not going to deawith it untilfter -- >>e accept that. the esident said look, the reason i was pushing so hard, if you don't s a deadline you don't get...
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Apr 8, 2012
04/12
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. >> polls were showing a lot of women voters who supported president obama in '08 were disappointed. is this conference a way to reenergize them? >> women and the economy is an extension of work we have been doing for more than three years t started with the creation of a couple of women and girls. it started with the engagement of all the federal agencies in making sure they are deliberate in assessing ways our policies effect women and girls. it started with making sure the race to the top program in education had a focus on making sure that states have incentives to drive forward access for women and girls into stem fields. so this is really a continuation of work that has been going on for a long time. >> congresswoman norton, is this enough to reinvigorate women voters in. >> republican policies have already invigorated women for the democrats. all the white house needs to do is keep plowing and deep going. >> no, i don't think it's enough. the only thing that matters is economic security and i think president obama gets failing marks on that. >> the republicans have done, as th
. >> polls were showing a lot of women voters who supported president obama in '08 were disappointed. is this conference a way to reenergize them? >> women and the economy is an extension of work we have been doing for more than three years t started with the creation of a couple of women and girls. it started with the engagement of all the federal agencies in making sure they are deliberate in assessing ways our policies effect women and girls. it started with making sure the race...
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Dec 12, 2009
12/09
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. >> we have seen obama's polls driftingouth a lite bit. is that becausee's taking on too much or because the public doesn' like what he's doing? >> through mt of this year we've seen he's been mor popularersonally than his policy that approval ratg now has drifted down to about 50%, and if you lk at historilly, presidents who are bel 50% from - in th first mid ter, their pty loses big-time in the congressional elections. i ink that's theorry. two other psidents were in a similar situation. bill clinton and ronald reagan. their parties lost big inhose midterm electn in their fst year they came bac and ran hanome re-election the president is on a different political timetle than the congress >> andhey know that on capitol hi. gwen: exact. let's talk more about the economy, becau as dan pointed out that's perhaps the most nagginggenda on the presidt's agenda. these pocketbook issues tha could well undercut every other priority. today the house passed a bill to tighten regulions on compans previouy deemed too big to dea as earer this weekhe wh
. >> we have seen obama's polls driftingouth a lite bit. is that becausee's taking on too much or because the public doesn' like what he's doing? >> through mt of this year we've seen he's been mor popularersonally than his policy that approval ratg now has drifted down to about 50%, and if you lk at historilly, presidents who are bel 50% from - in th first mid ter, their pty loses big-time in the congressional elections. i ink that's theorry. two other psidents were in a similar...
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Oct 20, 2012
10/12
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each base is to get voters to the polls. obama need to do that. there's still some weavering voters. there's not that many but this thing is so close that it doesn't matter. republicans feel very strongly that there's still a number of voters who kind of want to fire barack obama. they're disappointed in him but they haven't quite decided that romney is ok and this is going to what aimy was talking about. they've seen all these ads about what a bad guy he is that's why republicans feel it was important for romney to do so well at that first debate. gwen: does a foreign policy debate, which is what we see looming on monday night, speak to any of those voters? >> i think it does. obviously foreign policy is like, you know, 150th on the list of priorities in this year's election according to polls. i'm making that number un. -- up. gwen: just for the record. >> but i think what it will come down to, a little bit on monday, is about issues of leadership, trust, character, who do you relate to? the difference is, if you actually narrow down the policy
each base is to get voters to the polls. obama need to do that. there's still some weavering voters. there's not that many but this thing is so close that it doesn't matter. republicans feel very strongly that there's still a number of voters who kind of want to fire barack obama. they're disappointed in him but they haven't quite decided that romney is ok and this is going to what aimy was talking about. they've seen all these ads about what a bad guy he is that's why republicans feel it was...
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Jan 1, 2011
01/11
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according to a gallup poll, obama is the most admired man in america. is it a rosy 2011? >> i am worried about the public sector. look at european nations going down, breaking up the euro. at home, states in real finanical trouble and the biggest question, is obama going to get the fiscal house of the government in order? >> consumer confidenc ie is looking better. we are not out of the woods. most economists see modest growth. the jobless numbers are probably going to stay very high. they will stay high even as we grow because many people may come back into the market. >> colby? >> we will see modest growth in the coming year. we will also see business spending going up. the big problem will be with jobs. this is not going to be at a level that will make him comfortable. this will be around 9%, but this will not be around 6 or 7%. >> be happy news for 2011, the republican house. the experiment in hyper- liberalism is over. this means that we will have a couple of years of a debate between larger government and smaller government, the ambitions of the obama social democra
according to a gallup poll, obama is the most admired man in america. is it a rosy 2011? >> i am worried about the public sector. look at european nations going down, breaking up the euro. at home, states in real finanical trouble and the biggest question, is obama going to get the fiscal house of the government in order? >> consumer confidenc ie is looking better. we are not out of the woods. most economists see modest growth. the jobless numbers are probably going to stay very...
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Feb 13, 2010
02/10
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the polls consistently show that they give obama credit for reaching out more, so they're worried about seeming like they're rebuffing everything he does. on the other hand, they don't want it all to play into his hands so he can then claim a victory in some way that will be politically advantageous to him. but this goes to a larger frustration with what people are feeling with washington in general. there's a feeling, i think, that congress can't deal with any of the country's big problems. everybody agrees that health care needs to be reformed, but somehow congress can't get that done. people are feeling desperate for jobs, but congress can't pass a jobs bill. we're in the middle of a huge financial crisis, but deregulating the banks seems to be beyond congress's ability, to. and there's an urgent desire to get something done, so people don't feel like no matter how many big problems the country is facing, they're incapable of dealing with them. >> gwen, i would add one more thing -- i think the challenge for president obama is to both try to elevate above washington, which he has cer
the polls consistently show that they give obama credit for reaching out more, so they're worried about seeming like they're rebuffing everything he does. on the other hand, they don't want it all to play into his hands so he can then claim a victory in some way that will be politically advantageous to him. but this goes to a larger frustration with what people are feeling with washington in general. there's a feeling, i think, that congress can't deal with any of the country's big problems....
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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not every poll has obama winning in ohio. >> first if you look at the whole group of polls we have a two-point romney lead to a five or six-point obama lead, the average is going to do better a than any one poll individual think, polling is difficult now, because you can only get about ten percent of people on the money, polls are hoping that those people who they do get are representative of the ones whom they don't get, different views about who will turn out and who won't, about the, differ on the democrat grafnls and statistical uncertainty as well. >> depending on the model the poll uses will affect the result. >> a different hype these almost. >> .. if you assume a more vigorous turnout because obama has good ground game for example those have him winning, no more at that like opportunity thousand ten environment where republican enthusiasm prevail they have a very tight in ohio instead. >> rose: okay. but do you say when you look at all of these polls, i have noted you are a statistician, you noted in the polling you measure other polls? >> rightment. >> rose: do you measure t
not every poll has obama winning in ohio. >> first if you look at the whole group of polls we have a two-point romney lead to a five or six-point obama lead, the average is going to do better a than any one poll individual think, polling is difficult now, because you can only get about ten percent of people on the money, polls are hoping that those people who they do get are representative of the ones whom they don't get, different views about who will turn out and who won't, about the,...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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-- >> you can take your calls in virginia, because another poll shows obama is up in virginia. even with the heavy onslaught by romney, it still shows the northern virginia area still pretty much supports barack obama. >> new hampshire could be in play. >> new hampshire traditionally was a republican state. it only presidentially became a democratic state recently . >> then bartlet came along. >> the problem for ravi here is that unless he gets the search, it is close enough that if he loses ohio and virginia, let's say, or ohio and wisconsin, he pretty much passed to run the table in the other ones. >> you can get very confused unless you are a junkie trying to figure out the permutations, but everybody agrees that the path is clear and simpler for all of the then romney, even though it is a close race. -- clearer and simpler for obama that romney, even though it is a close race. >> a lot of talk about potential ties to the electoral college. >> which i think is a beach. but let's be clear, at the momentum is for romney and has been since that first debate. nina and to the new
-- >> you can take your calls in virginia, because another poll shows obama is up in virginia. even with the heavy onslaught by romney, it still shows the northern virginia area still pretty much supports barack obama. >> new hampshire could be in play. >> new hampshire traditionally was a republican state. it only presidentially became a democratic state recently . >> then bartlet came along. >> the problem for ravi here is that unless he gets the search, it is...
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Oct 4, 2012
10/12
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there are polls that showed that 52% of republicans believe acorn stole the election for barack obama. if you turn on fox news, a month before the election or a month after, all you heard was acorn, acorn. i think republicans convince themselves sincerely that acorn stole the election or they used it optimistically to push this message that voter fraud exists. and there is some evidence that message has broken through. 48% of the public in a recent poll said voter fraud is a major issue. even though there are people like me better saying voter fraud is not a big problem in u.s. elections, even though there is no major prosecutions by the bush administration or in states that have passed voter i.d. laws, just pennsylvania, nonetheless, republicans have repeated the mantra over and over again and convinced a lot of republicans that even a number of swing voters that it does exist. tavis: so voter fraud does ntopt appear to be real at all. this is a solution and chasing a problem. but what is wrong with requiring an i.d. when you go to vote? there are so many other aspects of american li
there are polls that showed that 52% of republicans believe acorn stole the election for barack obama. if you turn on fox news, a month before the election or a month after, all you heard was acorn, acorn. i think republicans convince themselves sincerely that acorn stole the election or they used it optimistically to push this message that voter fraud exists. and there is some evidence that message has broken through. 48% of the public in a recent poll said voter fraud is a major issue. even...
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Sep 7, 2012
09/12
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that means obama poll standing kerntly is not as bad as a different incumbent in a different race. >> the one thing i would say to that the romney theory, which is the challenger in -- undecide vote, 5% of undecided voters rule in politics lived wft president for 3 1/2 years clesser to 4 years. if they're not for him by now all they're looking for is an acceptable alternative. the he only slight twist is you have such interesting dynamics with the two and has people think of them which is to say governor romney holds a pretty wide lead the question of economic management and that is the primary issue in america right now, the economy people care a lot about that. >> charlie:right. >> on the other hand he holds a wide deficit, likability, shares your values, trustworthy, honest. president has a wide lead there. what exactly the intermay of those forces within a tbifn undecided voter are. what are they looking for in the debate? an acceptable alternative or two things playing in their minds? he sounds like he knows more because he avenues business guy, i don't trust him he he seems alie
that means obama poll standing kerntly is not as bad as a different incumbent in a different race. >> the one thing i would say to that the romney theory, which is the challenger in -- undecide vote, 5% of undecided voters rule in politics lived wft president for 3 1/2 years clesser to 4 years. if they're not for him by now all they're looking for is an acceptable alternative. the he only slight twist is you have such interesting dynamics with the two and has people think of them which is...
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Oct 29, 2011
10/11
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but he beats barack obama in polls nationally and statewide head to head or does better than any other republican candidate and that has not brought voters to him and george will has a column this weekend in which he goes right at the idea that he's wishy-washy and so forth. gwen: we have to talk about the president. while the republicans were taking care of each other, the president was going small this week. effectively conceding his bill jobs bill can't pass, he instead embraced a microapproach designed to give at least the appearance of movement on issues americans worry about, including housing and college affordability. >> i need you guys involved, i need you active. too many people out there are hurting. too many people are out there hurting for us to sit around and do nothing. gwen: jackie, who is the president targeting that message to? >> the message is generally to everyone because it's as if he's saying i'm not powerless just because the republicans in congress are obstructing every major piece of legislation i put forward. and then as each of these proposals to dribble out
but he beats barack obama in polls nationally and statewide head to head or does better than any other republican candidate and that has not brought voters to him and george will has a column this weekend in which he goes right at the idea that he's wishy-washy and so forth. gwen: we have to talk about the president. while the republicans were taking care of each other, the president was going small this week. effectively conceding his bill jobs bill can't pass, he instead embraced a...
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Sep 15, 2010
09/10
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voted two to one for democrats. >> ifill: and the reason barack obama's poll numbers are so bad-- >> the independent voters are started to leave barack obama and the democrats. the question is when you nominate tea party candidates who are so-- i say extreme not as a prejorrative, but if you want to repeal social security, if you think the civil rights act is unconstitutional, if you want to take away medicare, most people think that's extreme. those are the positions that will get independent voters back in line for democrats. so i actually think that as much as-- as much as, you know, people say this is really bad news for incumbents, it's actually not bad news for the incumbents that these tea party candidates are running against because they look more moderate and they look less extreme in comparison to some of like susan engel who thinks social security and medicare shouldn't exist or rand paul who thinks the civil rights act is unconstitutional. >> ifill: i get the feeling this is going to twist and turn in a few more directions between - ack, matt kibbe, kevin madden, thank yo
voted two to one for democrats. >> ifill: and the reason barack obama's poll numbers are so bad-- >> the independent voters are started to leave barack obama and the democrats. the question is when you nominate tea party candidates who are so-- i say extreme not as a prejorrative, but if you want to repeal social security, if you think the civil rights act is unconstitutional, if you want to take away medicare, most people think that's extreme. those are the positions that will get...
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Apr 10, 2012
04/12
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. >> also on the polling. you gave obama's polls. romney has the lowest positives and the highest negatives than anybody since bob dole in '96. >> that's true. but people know who obama is. i don't think people have tuned into romney enough for that to be as significant as a president's approval rating. >> it was a measure of what a bad... he flipped his positive-negative numbers. last fall he was sort of 50 positive, 25 negative. he managed to in six months reverse that. >> and the damage with women and hispanics, undeniable. >> rose: that's what i meant by whether he was in a big hole because of his campaign. >> well, one of the things that mike and evan got in this book which i found so fascinating is the romney obsession with opposition resurge and going negative. i mean, this is... romney... there's the body surfing and the easter eggs and tag and trip and all that. >> rose: these would be the romney children. >> yes, the various romney children. but in the end what romney's really good at-- and there's a line in the book-- is k
. >> also on the polling. you gave obama's polls. romney has the lowest positives and the highest negatives than anybody since bob dole in '96. >> that's true. but people know who obama is. i don't think people have tuned into romney enough for that to be as significant as a president's approval rating. >> it was a measure of what a bad... he flipped his positive-negative numbers. last fall he was sort of 50 positive, 25 negative. he managed to in six months reverse that....
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Oct 3, 2012
10/12
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the latest poll gives obama 70% of the hispanic vote. romney has backpedaled and the written policy with a much softer focus on illegal immigration. some say this is a chance to touch home the new message. >> throw away the rhetoric, the language that turns people off, and talk about it in a real leadership way. >> as night falls, the intense preparations are at an end. they will soon face each other for a debate but some say will shake up the race for the white house. >> so, how significant is tonight's debate? i am joined by the national editor of "a vanity fair" magazine. thank you very much. obviously, these debates have been analyzed for their significance. given the context of this election, how significant is tonight? >> it could be significant. the balance of the evidence suggests that the challenger has to gain in the first debate. he has the most -- obviously, mitt romney has the most to gain. he also has the most to lose. if he cannot show himself as a possible candidate, he will not turn around the trajectory. president obama
the latest poll gives obama 70% of the hispanic vote. romney has backpedaled and the written policy with a much softer focus on illegal immigration. some say this is a chance to touch home the new message. >> throw away the rhetoric, the language that turns people off, and talk about it in a real leadership way. >> as night falls, the intense preparations are at an end. they will soon face each other for a debate but some say will shake up the race for the white house. >> so,...
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Sep 9, 2012
09/12
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but will they go to the polls for barak obama? then, republicans who support marriage equality. >> hello i'm bonnie erbe. welcome to the contrary. a discussion of news and social friends from by verse ber speculatives. up first, the important choice ahead for women voters. [♪] barack obama and the democrats believe women will be the deciding factor in the presidential election. so they are working hard to drive them to the polls. >> and if you share that faith with me, if you share that hope with me, i ask you tonight for your vote. >> at their convention, democrats put women front, center and really everywhere. there were tributes to women senators and women house members. one woman after another took to the stage to make the case for reelecting president obama. >> we are far better off with barack obama than we were with george w. bush. that is why the republicans said gotcha. are you better off? absolutely. >> when you look at our convention, you see america represented. you see the diversity. you see the role of women all of
but will they go to the polls for barak obama? then, republicans who support marriage equality. >> hello i'm bonnie erbe. welcome to the contrary. a discussion of news and social friends from by verse ber speculatives. up first, the important choice ahead for women voters. [♪] barack obama and the democrats believe women will be the deciding factor in the presidential election. so they are working hard to drive them to the polls. >> and if you share that faith with me, if you...
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May 26, 2012
05/12
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obama's message is far better, far more salient. in it and pulling -- independent polling. obama's message is a fair shot for everybody, everybody plays by the same rules, no special privileges, everybody pays his and her fair share. the romney messages back to the future -- remove regulation, get government out of the way, keep tax cuts for those who need them the least -- he would not say that, but those who are job creators, by his definition. i don't think there's any question that the obama message would carry against the romney message. the messenger does matter, however. >> the idea of a fair shot runs into a little bit of empirical trouble when you talk about the crony capitalism, solyndra and all that. there are huge amounts of favoritism and cronyism in this administration. but i think that is right, that is the message, and the reason he has to run on the fairness issue, equity, is because he cannot run on the record or storage of the economy or a vision. what is he offering? the buffett rule? that is not going to do anything about our economy. it is in which to
obama's message is far better, far more salient. in it and pulling -- independent polling. obama's message is a fair shot for everybody, everybody plays by the same rules, no special privileges, everybody pays his and her fair share. the romney messages back to the future -- remove regulation, get government out of the way, keep tax cuts for those who need them the least -- he would not say that, but those who are job creators, by his definition. i don't think there's any question that the...
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Oct 12, 2012
10/12
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that said, women still were voting for (back-- barack obama after the debate in the battleground poll, for example, by 10 points. and so women are still support og bama, men are still supporting mitt romney. and in the battleground states that's even more. the biggest difference in the polls, were how energized the democratic women were. a lot of unmarried women, a lot of younger women were not very energized after that first debate. and that's where i think vice president biden was a home run. i think that these women wanted to see someone stand up for the policies they believe in, stand up for a role for government, call malarkey when it is. and i think you're going to see the democratic base of women far more energized. and you're going to see women then turn out in higher numbers which is very, very important to democratic victories. >> brown: kellyanne conway, let me come back to what you picked up. you could pick up on that but also what you said on how we approach these things. how we think about women's issues per sement because we keep hearing that the campaign could well hin
that said, women still were voting for (back-- barack obama after the debate in the battleground poll, for example, by 10 points. and so women are still support og bama, men are still supporting mitt romney. and in the battleground states that's even more. the biggest difference in the polls, were how energized the democratic women were. a lot of unmarried women, a lot of younger women were not very energized after that first debate. and that's where i think vice president biden was a home run....
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Jul 13, 2010
07/10
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new polls today showed public confidence in president obama at an all-time low. >> ifill: and i'm gwen ifill. on the newshour tonight, a majority of americans polled said they lacked faith in the president and in the way he's ndled the economy. we look at how the tide is turning and what that means for the midterm elections with newshour political editor, david chalian. >> lehrer: then, we flesh out public opinion with pbs correspondents in sacramento, california, rochester, new york, and hampton roads, virginia. >> ifill: spencer michels has the story of a california man who is fighting poverty in kenya by selling pumps to poor farmers. >> it won't break down. very lightweight. you can carry it to the field. the farmer doesn't have a screwdriver in rural africa. >> lehrer: margaret warner gets an update on cuba after the first of 52 freed political prisoners arrive in spain. >> ifill: and ray suarez has another report on haiti six months after the earthquake. >> suarez: in an interview with the newshour, haiti's president preval says his government is embarked on expensive reconstruct
new polls today showed public confidence in president obama at an all-time low. >> ifill: and i'm gwen ifill. on the newshour tonight, a majority of americans polled said they lacked faith in the president and in the way he's ndled the economy. we look at how the tide is turning and what that means for the midterm elections with newshour political editor, david chalian. >> lehrer: then, we flesh out public opinion with pbs correspondents in sacramento, california, rochester, new...
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Sep 22, 2012
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. >> a couple of polls this week. nbc wall street journal poll. obama does not do well with foreign policy. what do these numbers tell you? >> there is a 19% one where obama will help the middle class more than mitt romney. that is a huge gap exacerbated by the 47%. mitt romney can get the conversation back to the economy and maybe can be more specific. but what he has to do is have a personality transplant said the middle class can identify with him. >> here is a number that would scare me. 43% now agree that each would do equally well on the economy. >> the internal thing of that poll i thought rather a significant number of people think the economy is getting better. 31% i think. that is a huge jump from where it has been recently. that kind of optimism helps obama and it hurts. >> the entire premise of the romney campaign was that a bad economy would drive voters to mitt romney no matter what flaws he had as a candidate. they are not deserting barack obama. the bad economy is not hurting barack obama to the extent that mitt romney needs. >> wh
. >> a couple of polls this week. nbc wall street journal poll. obama does not do well with foreign policy. what do these numbers tell you? >> there is a 19% one where obama will help the middle class more than mitt romney. that is a huge gap exacerbated by the 47%. mitt romney can get the conversation back to the economy and maybe can be more specific. but what he has to do is have a personality transplant said the middle class can identify with him. >> here is a number that...
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Nov 6, 2012
11/12
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polls show that president obama and governor romney are in a tight race. ultimately, voters in a few key states will have the final say on who wins the white house. florida is one of those important battleground states. tom is in miami with more. tom. >> tom: susie, florida is the biggest swing state prize with the most electoral votes up for grabs. the economy, healthcare and immigration all are on display here with florida's diverse and growing population. voters in south florida today packed their umbrellas for the hot sun, and patience in some precincts. it's been a tight race in the sunshine state. compared to four years ago, it was a harder time deciding whom to vote for, for her. >> this time it came to the nitty gritty, they were fighting about real things, jobs, health care and i think they both have very good points. >> reporter: for her the decision came down to health care and medical insurance coverage, supporting president obama's effort to reform the industry. but natalie felt differently. >> there's a lot of changes in health care that real
polls show that president obama and governor romney are in a tight race. ultimately, voters in a few key states will have the final say on who wins the white house. florida is one of those important battleground states. tom is in miami with more. tom. >> tom: susie, florida is the biggest swing state prize with the most electoral votes up for grabs. the economy, healthcare and immigration all are on display here with florida's diverse and growing population. voters in south florida today...
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Nov 27, 2011
11/11
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said they would vote for romney over obama. the poll also found that half of all americans say they know little or nothing about mormonism, romney's faith. >>> cardinal bernard law has retired as head of an important basilica in rome. in 2002, law resigned as the archbishop of boston over allegations that he mishandled the sex abuse crisis. he became archpriest of the basilica of st. mary major in 2004. many victims' rights groups criticized pope john paul ii for naming law to that prominent position. >>> now, a lucky severson story about a phenomenally energetic doctor, brenda williams and her husband joe in south carolina. they have run a clinic for poor people for more than a generation. and that's just the beginning. they do a prison ministry, fix up and give away houses, get people back to school, do voter registration and on and on. >> god is a good god, yes he is. god is a good god, yes he is. one more time. >> this is the medium security pod at the detention center in sumter, south carolina, and this is dr. brenda willi
said they would vote for romney over obama. the poll also found that half of all americans say they know little or nothing about mormonism, romney's faith. >>> cardinal bernard law has retired as head of an important basilica in rome. in 2002, law resigned as the archbishop of boston over allegations that he mishandled the sex abuse crisis. he became archpriest of the basilica of st. mary major in 2004. many victims' rights groups criticized pope john paul ii for naming law to that...
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Apr 3, 2010
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half of those polled say he does not deserve to be reelected. the president is trying to sell health care again. >> the farther you get away from his inauguration, the more people are going to say that it is his problem, this issue. and it is this issue and in terms of what he can do about it. we see some improvement in the economy. the auto industry has stabilized, something that we had written off for dead over a year-and-a-half ago. we have seen some improvement in manufacturing, not nearly enough. consumer confidence is up. but it is going to be a very slow recovery, and that is where it is going to fall to the obama administration -- >> in the poll i mentioned, over 60% of the people said they are more in these siesta than ever over the november elections. -- more enthusiastic than ever over the november elections. >> obama might get lucky and the economy improves and he survives. but if he wants to be a leader, he has to face up to this larger issue overhanging, and one way to look at it is that the public pays about 20% in taxes, but by 2
half of those polled say he does not deserve to be reelected. the president is trying to sell health care again. >> the farther you get away from his inauguration, the more people are going to say that it is his problem, this issue. and it is this issue and in terms of what he can do about it. we see some improvement in the economy. the auto industry has stabilized, something that we had written off for dead over a year-and-a-half ago. we have seen some improvement in manufacturing, not...
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Oct 5, 2013
10/13
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the latest polling actually shows president obama improving in the polls. again, he doesn't have to be re-elected so that doesn't really matter and there is a feeling that he can -- to use a bad boxing analogy, of holding them against the ropes. let's not forget also the other reason that president obama is not getting into that room to negotiate and that's because harry reid won't let him and reid feels at least as strongly if not more than the president that these negotiations, the ground thaven -- they've given in the past. the republicans are not insane to think the president might cave because he's done that in the past. the president is a conciliator at heart but he's got very strong backup from the senate, which is taking some tough votes politically. >> you can always tell in a political fight which one is winning and losing by which one is united and which one is dwighted -- divided. >> one other fact about 19 5 versus today that's different. they did an analysis -- a president puts pressure on members of congress in whose district he had a vict i
the latest polling actually shows president obama improving in the polls. again, he doesn't have to be re-elected so that doesn't really matter and there is a feeling that he can -- to use a bad boxing analogy, of holding them against the ropes. let's not forget also the other reason that president obama is not getting into that room to negotiate and that's because harry reid won't let him and reid feels at least as strongly if not more than the president that these negotiations, the ground...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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maybe the polls are wrong, but if you're looking at the polls right now, obama has got it. >> did romney have momentum or was that just republican spin? >> he did have momentum after the first debate -- >> we have had a three since then -- >> what obama was never able to recapture the lead. >> i cannot say with certainty that there was momentum, no momentum. i cannot tell. you look at the polls hour after hour and you get a sense that this thing is very tight, even when you go to some of the battle ground states. >> yes, the first debate made an enormous difference in the campaign. it allowed mitt romney to reintroduce himself with no opposition on the part of the president as the moderate massachusetts reasonable mitt. gone was the saber-rattling mitt, keep out the foreigners mitt, round up the suspects mitt and send them to practice -- [laughter] he became reasonable, intelligent, poised, forget the cayman islands and the swiss bank accounts. frank bruni of "the new york times" made a telling point -- the first debate was important because it may president obama in the next two debates
maybe the polls are wrong, but if you're looking at the polls right now, obama has got it. >> did romney have momentum or was that just republican spin? >> he did have momentum after the first debate -- >> we have had a three since then -- >> what obama was never able to recapture the lead. >> i cannot say with certainty that there was momentum, no momentum. i cannot tell. you look at the polls hour after hour and you get a sense that this thing is very tight, even...
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Apr 29, 2012
04/12
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you look at polls, obama is significantly more likable with people. but mitt romney does much better when he focuses on his time as a businessman, with capital on turning around the economy, that's where he's the strongest, that's what he needs to focus on and if congress, for example, tries to go back in to talking about contraception and abortion he has to learn how to distance himself from that. >> it would be short sighted to slam a woman on the ticket -- >> but let's get to that, why do you think that is short sighted? >> we tried it twice the other team won both times. geraldine ferraro was on the democratic ticket in 19 4, give her credit. and reagan bush. sarah palin was on the ticket in 2008, obama won women by 13 points. so, we credit women. means that they're looking at things substantively not just -- the other thing that, i think romney's strength is in his competence, sort of slow and steady wins the race. i'm surefooted, i'm consistent and it's sort of if obama election in 2008 was inspiration fall i think romney should be aspirational
you look at polls, obama is significantly more likable with people. but mitt romney does much better when he focuses on his time as a businessman, with capital on turning around the economy, that's where he's the strongest, that's what he needs to focus on and if congress, for example, tries to go back in to talking about contraception and abortion he has to learn how to distance himself from that. >> it would be short sighted to slam a woman on the ticket -- >> but let's get to...
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Nov 6, 2012
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with polls showing president obama enjoying a slight edge in several crucial battle ground states, romney's strategists are counting on the undecided independent voters breaking his way. >> i think the momentum remains with governor romney. >> warner: a senior advisor to the romney campaign. >> it's a close race. we knew it would be close. i believe at the end of the day it can be and will be decisive for governor romney. when i look at the numbers and the data and the underlying data i think the undecided voters are going to break strongly for the governor. >> warner: the romney camp also believes it has an advantage in the city of his core supporters like the crowd that greeted the governor at this early morning rally in sanford, florida. >> look, we have one job left. that's to make sure that on election day we make certain that everybody who is qualified to vote gets out to vote. we need every single vote in florida. ( cheers and applause ) >> warner: romney said tuesday will prove a turning point for the country. >> tomorrow we begin a new tomorrow. tomorrow we begin a better tomorrow.
with polls showing president obama enjoying a slight edge in several crucial battle ground states, romney's strategists are counting on the undecided independent voters breaking his way. >> i think the momentum remains with governor romney. >> warner: a senior advisor to the romney campaign. >> it's a close race. we knew it would be close. i believe at the end of the day it can be and will be decisive for governor romney. when i look at the numbers and the data and the...
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Oct 22, 2011
10/11
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i am not sure what to do, but you see this in the polls -- obama is trying to do something, i suspect he would get some credit for that. >> we have the highest corporate tax rate in the world. even obama speaks about that is a huge liability. a discouraging investment in the u.s. that is obvious, easy, and it is lying out there, and he won't touch it. >> i love roosevelt, but what got us out of the depression was world war ii. what will get us out of this, i year, is a crisis in europe that brings the entire global system crashing down and out of that rubble, governments will be forced to do something. >> mr. apocalypse. >> after the apocalypse. >> i always cling to this hope that real reform will happen, but unless we have a crisis, i don't think it is going to. >> europe is in the process of doing what we did over the debt ceiling. >> cops, firefighters, teachers to work -- what we ought to have is another series of tax cuts for those who need it least. that worked so beautifully well that my goodness, let's have a city of tax cuts -- >> you pretended you were worried about the unem
i am not sure what to do, but you see this in the polls -- obama is trying to do something, i suspect he would get some credit for that. >> we have the highest corporate tax rate in the world. even obama speaks about that is a huge liability. a discouraging investment in the u.s. that is obvious, easy, and it is lying out there, and he won't touch it. >> i love roosevelt, but what got us out of the depression was world war ii. what will get us out of this, i year, is a crisis in...
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. -- an obama supporter, an obama enthusiast. the poll indicates they are the ones who could take over in november. what do you make of that? >> that is going to be the political dynamic that we have coming up here, which is to say, obama, by the way, was dealt a very bad hand. let's just stipulate that from the beginning. tavis: sure. >> the question is, what do you do with the hand? he did not play it as well as he could have, but at the same time, we have not heard of a meaningful plan from the republicans. the question is, can they win on that? at the moment, given the state of the economy, given that what americans look in their wallet, there is less money there, it does not matter if they are the party of no or the party of yes. they are a different party, a different choice, and i think what you keep hearing is that people want a different choice, and that is the result of the economic situation we're in right now. tavis: with the poll was -- >> i say it is all about the wallet. you can talk about this all summer, mistake
. -- an obama supporter, an obama enthusiast. the poll indicates they are the ones who could take over in november. what do you make of that? >> that is going to be the political dynamic that we have coming up here, which is to say, obama, by the way, was dealt a very bad hand. let's just stipulate that from the beginning. tavis: sure. >> the question is, what do you do with the hand? he did not play it as well as he could have, but at the same time, we have not heard of a...
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Oct 31, 2012
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polls give obama a slight edge. some of the other states are close. nobody knows what will happen. what we do know is that romney had a little bit of momentum. he was closing gaps, then everything stopped and the election was put on hold. president obama, you can feel the momentum on his side right now. we will have to see how the election plays out. sandy, beyond being a natural disaster, will always be part of the american electoral history. >> sandy has blunted some of the more bitter partisanship. now. we have six days left until the elections. will we hear a different town when the present its back on the campaign trail? >> slightly different. the president will want to stay optimistic, not suddenly descend into taken some cheap shots or one liners. he is now playing commander in chief of an ongoing crisis. remember, this is not about a day when a storm hits. this will go on for weeks and months. i think you will have an optimistic tone for the president. mitt romney will be going after obama more through his sarah gets. he will have to discuss why there are better times ahead
polls give obama a slight edge. some of the other states are close. nobody knows what will happen. what we do know is that romney had a little bit of momentum. he was closing gaps, then everything stopped and the election was put on hold. president obama, you can feel the momentum on his side right now. we will have to see how the election plays out. sandy, beyond being a natural disaster, will always be part of the american electoral history. >> sandy has blunted some of the more bitter...
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Oct 30, 2012
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other polls show president obama with a slight lead. is really tough to read, and the notion has been thrown up in the air because of the storm. >> i think a split in the alleged tora college is as likely as me winning the lotto, so i do not think that is a real alternatives. -- a split in the electoral college is as likely as winning the lotto, so i do not think that is a real alternative. and what happens at that point? >> i think it is possible. if you look at the polls in these states, president is strong in a handful of states. it is not going to be much more than 280 or 285, and given the fact that his numbers are going to come down from where they were in 2008, he is probably not going to do as well as he did with the circumstances he had, and if you add governor romney and a lot of red states, there is a possibility of one candidate, probably rendezvous' anymore popular votes and greeted romney winning popular votes and obama winning electoral votes. democrats are going to immediately say we have been here before. al gore got mo
other polls show president obama with a slight lead. is really tough to read, and the notion has been thrown up in the air because of the storm. >> i think a split in the alleged tora college is as likely as me winning the lotto, so i do not think that is a real alternatives. -- a split in the electoral college is as likely as winning the lotto, so i do not think that is a real alternative. and what happens at that point? >> i think it is possible. if you look at the polls in these...
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Apr 21, 2012
04/12
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in the cnn poll, among independent voters, obama's approval gap narrows to 5%. >> what would you say to president and mrs. obama? >> start packing. >> not so fast, governor. >> my responsibility is to get people to see the other side of them. >> "inside the circus," e-book by evan thomas and mike allen. "romney tried to be a regular guy, he just wasn't good at it." according to the latest "new york times"-cbs poll, when it comes to handling the economy, they are just about even. evan, may be nice guys and to finish last. >> the nice guy it stuff matters, but what matters more is the economy could the clout on the horizon is europe. feel's problems -- you can the fear of a ripple effect. if that spain has an economic crisis, europe has an economic crisis, that is a threat to obama in november. >> nina? >> we up here may not care about who is nicer, we care more about who has better judgment. but the history of elections does not show that to be the case. al gore did not become president because people thought he was not a nice guy and george bush was. >> colby? >> we are early. we hav
in the cnn poll, among independent voters, obama's approval gap narrows to 5%. >> what would you say to president and mrs. obama? >> start packing. >> not so fast, governor. >> my responsibility is to get people to see the other side of them. >> "inside the circus," e-book by evan thomas and mike allen. "romney tried to be a regular guy, he just wasn't good at it." according to the latest "new york times"-cbs poll, when it comes to...
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Nov 6, 2012
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in 2012 in an average of our polls 18% of them say they're voting for obama. that's the kind of dropoff you can't sustain. the difference is there aren't as many of them as there were. >> presidential campaigns -- i think we spend much too much time talking about tactics -- >> one second, al. >> we spend too much time talking about the importance of tactics or what happened and the fundamentals of the political environment and the dynamics of the country for a reelection of a president is much more important than this the dynamics of ohio and the economy in ohio has more to do with how the president is doing in ohio than any tactical thing either campaign has done and that dynamic is set. the other dynamic that's pretty much set and something that i kept telling people to look at in 2004 was the president's job approval number and the president's job approval number today is in two polls that came out today, 51% and 52%. no president has lost reelection when their job approval number has been over 50%. >> rose: but wasn't it below 50% two months ago. >> yeah,
in 2012 in an average of our polls 18% of them say they're voting for obama. that's the kind of dropoff you can't sustain. the difference is there aren't as many of them as there were. >> presidential campaigns -- i think we spend much too much time talking about tactics -- >> one second, al. >> we spend too much time talking about the importance of tactics or what happened and the fundamentals of the political environment and the dynamics of the country for a reelection of a...
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Sep 10, 2011
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they could lose the house, as bad as president obama's doing in the polls, there's five dozen republicans who are from districts that president obama won in 2008. he won't win all of those probably next year, but that shows that those are competitive districts and they can't afford to lose more than 24. gwen: on the left coast of the country, john harris, you were moderating the debate, and there were gauntlets thrown there, too. >> all over the place. gwen: all over the place, entitlements, social security. who was throwing them and who was picking them up? >> the story of this debate was clearly governor rick perry who has just entered the race. this was his first debate and we see it consistently across several polls, is atop this race. this was really the chance to show us, is this for real. does he have the goods. the gauntlets were thrown down on social security. just last year when he didn't plan to run for president, governor perry wrote his book, "fed up" that is filled on almost every page with the kind of thing that a cautious , calculating, playit safe would never say, and abo
they could lose the house, as bad as president obama's doing in the polls, there's five dozen republicans who are from districts that president obama won in 2008. he won't win all of those probably next year, but that shows that those are competitive districts and they can't afford to lose more than 24. gwen: on the left coast of the country, john harris, you were moderating the debate, and there were gauntlets thrown there, too. >> all over the place. gwen: all over the place,...